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Criterion
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Purposedifferent
When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
30-90 min45-90 min1-4 h or multiple rounds
Participantsdifferent
3-122-84-12 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
EstimationExpertsForecasting
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB