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Criterion
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Purposedifferent
When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
30-90 min45-60 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-122-81-5
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success Metric
Tagsno overlap
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing