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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds1-3 h30-90 min Setup, danach laufend
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten4-101-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesCurrent-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
ForecastingFlowDelivery
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation