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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Agile Ideal Days |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 10-30 min je Item | 15-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 1-8 | 2-9 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats |
Tags1 shared | EstimationExpertsForecasting | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationEffortAgile |
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