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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-60 min | 5-20 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 3-10 | 3-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment | EstimationEffortRisk |
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