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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 1-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ForecastingFlowDelivery | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |
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