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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Delivery Communication Plan |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When many people need to be informed in parallel and messages would otherwise arrive unevenly or too late, a Communication Plan orders communication reliably. Channels, audiences, and cadences interlock so important information doesn't get lost. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 1-8 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Communication Plan, Channel Matrix, Message Cadence |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ForecastingFlowDelivery | CommunicationStakeholdersDeliveryPlanning |
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