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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations Root Cause Tree Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For a problem with several suspected causes, the method builds a causal structure instead of a mere list. It makes visible how causes connect and where the strongest points of leverage lie. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Cause Tree, Evidence Notes, Countermeasures |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Root causeTreeIncidentQuality |
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