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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Operations Causal Factor Analysis |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events. |
Complexitysame | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 3-10 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Event Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective Actions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline |
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