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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 20-45 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 1-10 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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