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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-3 h | 5-20 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 1-8 | 3-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | SensemakingDecisionRationale | EstimationEffortRisk |
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