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Criterion
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Purposedifferent
For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-120 min1-4 h or multiple roundslaufend
Participantsdifferent
2-84-12 Experten2-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules
Tagsno overlap
WasteLeanProcess improvement
EstimationExpertsForecasting
EstimationForecastingFlow
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Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation