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| Criterion |  Operations Waste Analysis |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 45-120 min | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement Backlog | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | WasteLeanProcess improvement | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ForecastingFlowDelivery |
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