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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | LeanStartupValidationMVP | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight |
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