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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Agile Ideal Days |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. |
Complexitysame | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 15-60 min | 5-20 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 2-9 | 3-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | EstimationEffortAgile | EstimationEffortRisk |
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