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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 1-3 h | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan |
Tags1 shared | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight |
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