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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 45-60 min | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight |
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