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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 45-60 min | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 2-8 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |
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