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Criterion
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Purposedifferent
When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 h10-30 min je Itemlaufend
Participantsdifferent
4-101-82-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck listThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules
Tagsno overlap
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationForecastingFlow
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Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis