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| Criterion |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | laufend | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-10 | 2-12 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | EstimationForecastingFlow | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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