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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Knowledge Modeling Knowledge Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Knowledge Mapping makes knowledge, gaps, and transfer paths visible across a field. It fits when expertise should not just exist but also be findable and transferable. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-12 Experten | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Knowledge Map, Critical Knowledge Areas, Transfer Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationExpertsForecasting | KnowledgeMappingRisk |
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