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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Innovation Lotus Blossom |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When a central question feels too large, the method breaks it into neighboring topic fields with their own depth of ideation. It holds structure and openness at the same time, so adjacent perspectives don't get lost. This grows an idea space out of a core problem. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 15-45 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-8 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Lotus Diagram, Idea Themes, Shortlist |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | BrainstormingIdeationCreativityDivergenceWorkshop |
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