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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item15-45 min10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
1-81-81
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Paper notes move from an inbox to action, project and calendar collections.
Operations
Getting Things Done