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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Product Discovery Opportunity Solution Tree |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-2 h Setup, laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning Log |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity |
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