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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Agile NoEstimates |  Operations Kepner-Tregoe |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | laufend | 2-8 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationForecastingFlow | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations |
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