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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Itemlaufend60-180 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-124-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesThroughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesCynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationForecastingFlow
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
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Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting