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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Agile NoEstimates |  Operations After-Action Review |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | laufend | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 3-12 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Lessons learned, Action items, Event summary |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationForecastingFlow | LearningOperationsImprovement |
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