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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Iceberg Model method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Iceberg Model
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-10
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesIceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration of Family Tree Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Family Tree Analysis