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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of the Lightning Decision Jam working structure.
Facilitation
Decision Jam
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item60-90 min5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
1-84-103-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesProblem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, ExperimentEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop
EstimationEffortRisk
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Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of the Consensus Workshop working structure.
Facilitation
Consensus Workshop
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method