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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item10-20 min daily30-90 min Setup, danach laufend
Participantsdifferent
1-811-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
ForecastingFlowDelivery
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Communication Plan
Delivery
Communication Plan
Paper notes move from an inbox to action, project and calendar collections.
Operations
Getting Things Done