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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-4 Wochen5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
1-81-63-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
EstimationEffortRisk
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Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas