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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 30-90 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 1-10 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | SensemakingDecisionRationale |
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