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Criterion
Paper illustration of Three Horizons with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Three Horizons
Growth Experiment workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
Growth Experiment
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon.When growth ideas surface quickly, the temptation to build immediately instead of learning is high. A Growth Experiment frames an assumption so target group, lever, and measurement are clear before the first deployment.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ1-2 Wochen1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-121-6Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource planExperiment card, Result summary, Next betInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight
MarketingGrowthExperimentsLearning
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card