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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 2-4 h | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking |
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