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Criterion
Paper illustration of Three Horizons with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Three Horizons
Paper illustration of Five-Minute VC Check with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
5-Minuten VC-Check
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon.The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ5-15 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-121-52-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource planVC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation stepAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight
StartupValidationCompetition
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing