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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Decision Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionTreeOptions |
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