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Criterion
Paper illustration for T-Shirt Sizing.
Agile
T-Shirt Sizing
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When effort only needs to be classified roughly, it makes comparability more important than false precision. It helps sort work quickly into manageable sizes.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitysame
LowLowLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min5-20 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-123-202-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Size Buckets, Rough Backlog Map, Split CandidatesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
EstimationAgileRoadmap
EstimationEffortRisk
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of Dual Track Agile with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Dual-Track Agile