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Criterion
Paper illustration for Story Points.
Agile
Story Points
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Purposedifferent
When teams want to rate complexity rather than hours, it creates a shared, relative scale. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Point Estimates, Reference Stories, and Velocity Data.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
laufend, 1-5 min je Item45-90 min1-4 h or multiple rounds
Participantsdifferent
3-92-84-12 Experten
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Point Estimates, Reference Stories, Velocity DataAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationAgileMeasurement
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
EstimationExpertsForecasting
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation