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Criterion
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of Shape-first Modeling with its method-specific working model.
Knowledge Modeling
Shape-First Modeling
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.Shape-First Modeling defines data quality through shapes before implementation or integration frays at the edges. The approach fits when validation and data contracts should be part of the design from the start.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-5 TageHalber Tag pro Domain Slice45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
Nutzertraffic1-42-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteSHACL or ShEx Shapes, Validation Reports, Data Contracts, Shape DocumentationAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tags1 shared
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
Knowledge graphValidationSemantic
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing