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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Trade-off Analysis |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | With limited resources, quality, speed, cost, and risk almost always compete with each other. Trade-off Analysis makes these tensions explicit and prevents decisions from producing hidden side effects. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 45-120 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Trade-off Matrix, Criteria List, Decision Rationale, Accepted Downsides | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | TradeoffsDecisionCriteriaOptions | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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