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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.
Complexitydifferent
HighLow
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage20-35 min
Participantsdifferent
4-121-5
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsTest Card with a pre-set threshold
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card