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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions |
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