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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Operations Kepner-Tregoe |  Operations ALPEN Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 2-8 h | 10-20 min daily |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations |
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