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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-3 h | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | ForecastingFlowDelivery |
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