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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 60-120 min | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality |
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