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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLow
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage45-60 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
4-122-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing