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Criterion
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-2 Wochen pro Iteration2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
2-63-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control Actions
Tagsno overlap
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
RiskRoot causeSafety
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test