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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 2-6 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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