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| Criterion |  Decision Making Red Teaming |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h | 5-20 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 3-20 | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionSensemaking | EstimationEffortRisk | EstimationExpertsForecasting |
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