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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.
Complexitydifferent
LowHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min0.5-2 Tage
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group4-12
Formatsame
WorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logScenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options
Tags1 shared
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method